We are all Greece

I have this recurring nightmare.

Actually, I’ve got a lot of frequent bad dreams but this one’s particularly chilling. Things were O.K. at work.  I was growing my responsibilities, my authority. I was getting promoted quickly. I was making money. So, like a financial optimist, I bet on the future and started borrowing.

It started small and harmless — I took a large mortgage on a house — but then, I started borrowing more money to finance a rich lifestyle.

Soon, it was like ballooning like Bono’s ego.  I had to borrow just to pay off my old loans.

It took so much financial engineering, I didn’t even have time to work  – I was so busy.

But then, out of the blue, people didn’t want to keep lending to me.

I was coming up short, compounded by the fact my work slacked and earnings were dropping as a result.

Crap, I was stuck.

I had been Greece-d.

Continue reading “We are all Greece”

How Michelle Obama added $5B in market cap to apparel stocks – with David Yermack

David Yermack, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business, studied the first lady’s impact on apparel stocks for companies associated with outfits she wore.

The results are impressive: she added over $5B in equity value to those firms in aggregate and stocks typically went up almost 2% in the week following her appearance.

What does this have to say about celebrity endorsement of stocks and companies? I ask David about this and more on this week’s episode of Tradestreaming Radio.

Continue reading “How Michelle Obama added $5B in market cap to apparel stocks – with David Yermack”

What are the best market indicators?

I’ve had a couple of readers write in recently asking what I think the best market indicators are.

It’s a hard question — I don’t think of them in terms of best or worst. More, there are useful indicators at different junctions in the market and really, they’re all part of an investor toolbox.

But, I wanted to ask you: what do you think are the best market indicators? What do you use to help forecast which way the market is headed?

To get the conversation started, I’ve included a list of market indicators — feel free to vote on what you like, dislike, or better, add your own.

[listly id=”pR” theme=”light” layout=”full” numbered=”yes” image=”yes” items=”all”]

Why a stock’s ticker matters – with Vallapuzha Sandhya

future of financial services

How do investors discover what to buy? How do we find investment opportunities?

In Does Investor Attention Affect Stock Prices?, Researchers found that small cap stocks with ticker symbols similar to larger cap stocks went up in sympathy with their larger cap brothers. In fact, these attention portfolios saw 1-3% abnormal returns.

Pretty interesting, so I invited one of the authors of the study, Vallapuzha Sandhya onto Tradestreaming radio to discuss her findings with us.

Continue reading “Why a stock’s ticker matters – with Vallapuzha Sandhya”

The cruiseline tragedy and the unexpected lesson for investors

There’s an old adage in the investment field. It’s become almost folk knowledge that you’re supposed to buy on the rumor and sell on the news.

Simply, that means that the investment gains are made before news breaks. Once the news — good or bad — makes its way into the media, most of the gains/losses have already happened.

But sometimes, when disaster strikes, there isn’t really a rumor. News hits and stocks get pummeled. Right away.

That’s what happened to the two leading cruise line stocks in the wake of the Italian disaster January 16th. Carnival Corporation (CCL), the owner of the ship, saw its stock drop like a rock, at one point losing over 20% of their value. Competitor, Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL), was also hit out of sympathy, losing as much as 8% on the day the news hit. Investors were very quick to sell, skittishly unloading their holdings before the true extent of the accident was known.

And in fact, both stocks have regained some of their initial losses.

Talking about the investment side of this tragedy is in no way meant to disrespect the innocent victims of the tragedy. Their pain is more important than these more worldly discussions. Our hearts go out to them. But, it’s also instructive to see how investors behave in the wake of news, so we can learn from it. And learn from our mistakes.

Continue reading “The cruiseline tragedy and the unexpected lesson for investors”

3 things investors can learn about risk from the U.S. Army

Major Hugh Jones is a professor of finance and economics at the United States Military Academy and has had two tours of duty in Iraq. He also has an MBA from Duke.

He spoke last year at the CARE conference (Center for Accounting Research and Education conference) about how the U.S. Army deals with high-stakes risk. The video below is his presentation at CARE (thanks to Professor Darren Roulstone for bubbling up  his speech!).

You can get slides of Major Jones’ presentation here [.pdf].

Here’s what investors can learn from how the U.S. Army deals with risk.

Continue reading “3 things investors can learn about risk from the U.S. Army”

Slaying sacred cows, researching profitable trading strategies – with Wes Gray

interview with fintech investor, Dan Ciporin

Wes Gray is a no-holds-barred researcher who’s always looking to uncover investment strategies that are actually useful in making investors money.

He joins us this week on Tradestreaming Radio to discuss some of his recent research on expert community, SumZero and Joel Greenblatt’s Magic Formula, and lots more.

Continue reading “Slaying sacred cows, researching profitable trading strategies – with Wes Gray”

6 easy ways to get more interested in investing

I live and breathe this investing stuff.

So, sometimes I take my insane fervor interest in investing for granted.

But a lot of people aren’t me (thankfully). Many are either too busy, too distracted, or uninterested in investing. That’s a shame — because outside of building your own wealth, there isn’t an easier way to protect your (small) fortune and grow it over time.

So, why are so many closed out of investing? Why do 40% of 18-30 year olds NEVER want to participate in the stock market??

That’s a post for another time. For now, I want to focus on how to get more interested in the stock market, assuming that’s a worthy goal (I think it is).

How do you create interest in something you aren’t quite interested in to begin with?

Here are 6 ways to get more interested in investing

1. Get seriously informed about the market: In 1921, Harry Kitson wrote a book he thought was destined to help college students improve their study habits. Nah, it’s really a book about the science (hey, it’s close to 100 years young) of learning. How to Use Your Mind addresses the hard question of finding inspiration in learning. For Kitson, people don’t generally start with inspiration about learning. It’s about perspiration — working hard to learn a bit about a subject. The passion soon follows. (Source: How to Use Your Mind)

2. Look deeper: So much of what we know about the stock market is through our perception and personal histories. Maybe our parents were involved or maybe they were disinterested. But to create true, motivated interest in a subject, it takes changing our mental image, looking at investing differently. My grandfather was a Buffett-like figure but the markets today would have completely confounded him. I know is sounds kind of Zen-y but, “If you’re really paying attention, you can always go deeper, continuously. If you do, new worlds open for you..”  (Source: Quora)

3. Think good thoughts about the market: Negativity totally breeds negativity. Sometimes that may be warranted but most of the time, it clouds our thinking. The best investors I’ve met are always objective about their investing approach. They don’t let bad decisions wrack them. They move on, learning from their mistakes. The market is a great teacher and it demands its participants visualize success. Learning with passion about the market requires:

  • OUR choice: we practice because we want to, not because we’re forced to
  • build success on success: find ways to have success, however small. The positive feedback loop is powerful.
  • purpose to practice: underscoring everything should be a strong feeling of personal purpose. Answer the question why investing matters to you, (Source: Steve Pavlina)

4. Find friends who like the market: Not only does this stimulate a desire to learn about and participate in the market, it may improve your results. All else equal, social households — those who interact with their neighbors, or who attend church — are more likely to invest in the stock market than non-social households. It even extends to where you live — people living in states where people are likely to invest are themselves more likely to invest. Mutual fund managers who live in the same state are also more likely to trade the same stocks. We’re social animals and we learn from our friends. Investing ideas and education spread epidemically. We’re influenced by others’ behavior. Want to learn more about investing? Surround yourself with people who do, too.  (Source: Social Interaction and Stock Market Participation)

5. Use resources at work to dive in to investing: Just like having neighbors you can shoot the sh*t with about stocks, the market, and investing, your work environment can impact your learning about the market. Sure enough, employers that offer seminars on investing find their employees more educated about investing and more likely to invest. (Source: The Effects of Financial Education in the Workplace)

6. Try some new tools: The finance industry is not your father’s finance industry. You don’t have to work with cigar-smoking old dudes who wear suspenders. Platforms like Betterment simplify investing and make it easier to focus on the important things. Others like Personal Capital make it easier to get professional investment advice online. SigFig, Jemstep, and FutureAdvisor help to find waste in your portfolios and optimize them for performance. There’s a renaissance of investing tools that can help.

Don’t feel bad if you’re not all that into the markets. That distance is actually a good thing — it can make you a smarter, more objective investor. But like everything worthwhile in life, investing is a lifelong process of learning: learning about your own behavior and others.

You can do it, Slugger.

12 ways investors can profit via legal insider trading

Insider trading has been top of mind for the past few months with Galleon and Congressional insider trading blanketing the news. While illegal insider trading is being taken to the woodshed, there’s plenty to do with legal insider trading. By following the smart money, investors can follow the cookie crumbs back to the investing profits.

So, here are 12 ways investors can use insider trading data and information to make better, smarter, investment decisions.

Continue reading “12 ways investors can profit via legal insider trading”

Making investing simpler – with Jon Stein

A lot of people don’t invest because it’s seemingly too complicated.

So many decisions to make, so much jargon, who to trust?

Jon Stein is the founder and CEO of Betterment which he describes as a mix between Apple and Vanguard. It’s extremely easy to design a fine portfolio.

By removing much of the noise that distracts investors, Betterment has developed a 95% solution for 95% of investors. Plus, the firm is rolling out some functionality for investors who want a little more flexibility.

Jon’s growing an online asset manager from the ground up.  He shared with me that Betterment has almost 10,000 customers already with mid-$20M under management (AUM), with many of them using the goals and planning tools the site has developed.

Jon joins us for this week’s episode of Tradestreaming Radio.

Continue reading “Making investing simpler – with Jon Stein”