How transparent is financial social media really?

financial social media

Over the past few years, investors have been treated to an unprecedented level of transparency thanks to Twitter/Facebook/blogging.

With millions of people tradestreaming (the collective publishing of investing advice 24/7) out onto social networks, all an investor needs to do is just plug in and begin learning from investors much more experienced and talented than he.

Moving beyond just listening to the stream, many investors are replicating hedge fund returns by following top investors’ quarterly regulatory filings on sites like market folly and using research tools the likes of AlphaClone (affiliate link because it’s awesome).

Here’s an example of how I’ve built my own DIY all-star hedge fund.

Professional advisors and the social media pushback

But this post on Quora (if you’re interested, follow the Tradestreaming board on Quora) got me thinking about how transparent investors — particularly, investment advisors —  really are online.

In fact, in talking with many portfolio managers about the merits of joining a marketplace for portfolio managers like Covestor, one of the biggest pushbacks I’ve heard has been the need to be completely transparent. It’s one reason why truly valuable actively managed strategies may not make their way to ETF format: investors can track (almost) every move.

As the Quora post describes, many investment advisors feel that their stock picks are their special sauce and wouldn’t do anything to jeopardize losing their edge.

There’s little advantage in it for them, because for most the exclusive nature is their bread and butter

Freemium: emphasis on the -mium

When they approach publishing online, these investors actually reveal very little of what they’re really doing with their portfolios. They throw a bone to investors here and there, but typically it’s just a throwaway investment idea, not something they’d stake their livelihoods on.

If these investment types are really using a freemium model to attract new clients, they’re definitely emphasizing the –mium part, not the free.

The downside risk of being wrong outweighs opportunity of being right

Of course, like financial newsletters, there’s a downside to being completely transparent — the risk of being wrong. Investors want to believe good managers (and newsletters) are infallible. All their picks go up. Returns are always outsized.

Just take look at Jim Jubak — he’s publishing away, airing his laundry for the world to see. He gets some right and some wrong. The point is no stock picker is going to be infallible.

Advisors have good months and bad ones — that’s part of the game and inevitable. It’s how well advisors limit their downside on the bad months that determines how good overall performance is going to be. Investors don’t like to think about how hard investing is (geez, May 2012 was impossible).

As Barron’s Steve Sears said in my recent interview with him:

Investors want a pharmaceutical solution to investing, a magic performance pill they pop to succeed.

But of course, for most of us, we understand that it’s not always the outcome of the investment advice. Rather, it’s the thought process, the intellectual back-and-forth to hone a thesis about what the world will look like in the future.

That’s hard but it’s also a conversation worth having. That’s why I’m betting on the tradestream as the future of investing.

 photo courtesy of Fayster

The biggest problem with investment strategies

We all know how poorly individual investors do in the markets. Just look at any Dalbar study and you’ll see just how most investors don’t come close to achieving market returns.

One reason (but not the real one) why investors perform so poorly

Market structures are part of the problem. For years, it wasn’t Wall Street with its capital source, individual investors. It was Wall Street versus individual investors.

Selling is Wall Street’s essence just as surely as buying is Main Street’s. Wall Street almost never tells you to sell   (The Indomitable Investor by Steve Sears)

It’s almost as if brokers and their clients were pitted against one another — brokers sold when their clients bought.

The real reason investors struggle

But, that’s not the main reason investors stink up the joint.

Continue reading “The biggest problem with investment strategies”

3 things investors can learn about risk from the U.S. Army

Major Hugh Jones is a professor of finance and economics at the United States Military Academy and has had two tours of duty in Iraq. He also has an MBA from Duke.

He spoke last year at the CARE conference (Center for Accounting Research and Education conference) about how the U.S. Army deals with high-stakes risk. The video below is his presentation at CARE (thanks to Professor Darren Roulstone for bubbling up  his speech!).

You can get slides of Major Jones’ presentation here [.pdf].

Here’s what investors can learn from how the U.S. Army deals with risk.

Continue reading “3 things investors can learn about risk from the U.S. Army”

Why risk is so hard to measure

Building on this theme of risk that’s capturing my attention as of late, I wanted to drill down a bit further into this discussion of risk.

One of the things I’ve discussed on my podcast has been how traditional tools used by financial advisors and RIAs aren’t sufficient to get a real handle on our risk.

Risk questionnaires, like the kinds Vanguard uses (one of the better ones by the way), don’t accurately capture our real relationship with risk. There are a variety of reasons why that’s the case but for this post, I wanted to focus on just one aspect of risk and that’s our inability to measure it.

Continue reading “Why risk is so hard to measure”

Investment risk: what is it and how a two-headed hyrdra monster can ruin your investment returns

Been talking to a lot of investing people about Risk recently: what it is, how to measure it, how to control it.

Why Risk matters

Risk is one of those things you don’t realize you have too much of until it’s too late. Being able to manage risk effectively is essential in the investment process.  Get it right and you hit your goals. Get it wrong and the potential for catastrophic losses is immense.

I don’t agree with the buy-and-holders who believe holding forever erases risk. Risk is always there, lurking around the corner.

There are huge issues and ones that many academics and entrepreneurs are beginning to tackle in meaningful ways. Imagine if we can get to a point where we can personalize risk — with financial advisors and with DIY investing tools.

Continue reading “Investment risk: what is it and how a two-headed hyrdra monster can ruin your investment returns”

Investing with more return and less risk – with Lee Hull

As an investment advisor, Lee Hull’s clients can’t afford to have down years.

They’re retirees looking for steady income — no matter what Mr. Market has to say about it. Where traditional advisors are willing to ride the market’s ups-and-downs, Hull uses a different approach.written by Lee Hull

His returns have trounced the markets while he puts less of his clients’ capital at risk. Over the past 10 years where the markets have literally gone nowhere, Hull’s investment firm has averaged over 8% per year (net of inflation!).

That’s pretty darn good but when you see that he was “only down” 9% in his largest losing year during the same time period, that should make you sit up and listen (if you’re not already).

On today’s episode of Tradestreaming Radio., Hull shares much of his research and methodology with us.  He’s the author of Less Risk, More Return: A Proven Blueprint for Retirement Plan Investing.

Look below to access Hull’s 10 Tips to Improve Investing Returns and Lower Risk.
Continue reading “Investing with more return and less risk – with Lee Hull”

Using small bets to become a better investor — with Peter Sims (transcript)

On Tradestreaming Radio, we’re interviewing lots of innovative entrepreneurs, investors, and researchers all trying to make investors better at what they do. Check out our archives. Subscribe on iTunes.

Part of learning to be a successful investor comes from learning to fail.

Sometimes we’re afraid to fail so we don’t bother trying.  Other times we bet too much only to prematurely end the learning process.

Successful investing comes from making small mistakes, learning from them, to get to a successful outcome.  It’s as much about the process than it is the outcome.

Peter Sims, author of Little Bets: How Breakthrough Ideas Emerge from Small Discoveries, joins us on Tradestreaming Radio to discuss his findings after interviewing hundreds of successful businessmen, entrepreneurs, and social scientists. Continue reading “Using small bets to become a better investor — with Peter Sims (transcript)”

Using small bets to become a better investor — with Peter Sims (podcast)

Part of learning to be a successful investor comes from learning to fail.

Sometimes we’re afraid to fail so we don’t bother trying.  Other times we bet too much only to prematurely end the learning process.

Successful investing comes from making small mistakes, learning from them, to get to a successful outcome.  It’s as much about the process than it is the outcome.

Peter Sims, author of Little Bets: How Breakthrough Ideas Emerge from Small Discoveries, joins us on Tradestreaming Radio to discuss his findings after interviewing hundreds of successful businessmen, entrepreneurs, and social scientists. Continue reading “Using small bets to become a better investor — with Peter Sims (podcast)”

[Free Webinar]: From the ground up: Building a better money management business

This event was already held. Check out this event’s presentation, Building an investment advisory business from the ground up.

From the ground up: How to build a successful money management firm

Join us for a Webinar on May 16
Space is limited.
Reserve your Webinar seat now at:
https://www3.gotomeeting.com/register/545041518
Is your investment practice what you want it to be? 

Many professional investors have changed their business models over the past few years.  Wirehouse brokers are breaking out and going independent. Many are choosing to start or join existing RIAs.  Many others are creating their own hedge funds.

Everyone is looking for the right business model, the right structure for their investment business.

Cale Smith, founder of Islamorada Investment Management, believes he’s built a better investment business mousetrap.

Called Spoke Funds®, these structures solve some of the problems associated with mutual funds (underperformance, tax inefficiency) and hedge funds (compensation schemes masquerading as an asset class).

The Spoke Fund® structure aligns incentives by ensuring the investment manager invests most of his liquid net worth in the same portfolio he’s selling to investors.

In this webinar, you’ll learn:

  • why the existing vehicles for your business (mutual/hedge funds) are broken
  • How Spoke Funds solve these problems
  • Why Spoke Funds are perfect for managers who are value investors
  • How they lower start-up costs and get into business faster
  • How their transparency is attracting a new class of investor

Please join Zack Miller of Tradestreaming.com and Cale Smith of Islamorada Investment Management for a frank and open chat about the future of the investment management business.

Title: From the ground up: How to build a successful money management firm
Date: Monday, May 16, 2011
Time: 4:00 PM – 5:00 PM EDT
After registering you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the Webinar.
System Requirements
PC-based attendees
Required: Windows® 7, Vista, XP or 2003 Server
Macintosh®-based attendees
Required: Mac OS® X 10.4.11 (Tiger®) or newer